Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.624544 0.698129 0.777922 0.871036 0.976918 1.093807 1.232937
2025-03-02 0.496587 0.594117 0.708268 0.852415 1.030528 1.244608 1.523218
2025-03-09 0.439538 0.550205 0.686547 0.868228 1.106011 1.409421 1.830348
2025-03-16 0.389149 0.504841 0.653291 0.859834 1.143075 1.522686 2.078113
2025-03-23 0.356035 0.476352 0.636280 0.867371 1.197629 1.660106 2.370118
2025-03-30 0.322748 0.443356 0.608605 0.855329 1.220868 1.752914 2.605453
2025-04-06 0.296987 0.417825 0.588011 0.849834 1.250845 1.855861 2.865056
2025-04-13 0.266454 0.382527 0.549871 0.814005 1.230292 1.878219 2.997637
2025-04-20 0.251932 0.369242 0.542480 0.823248 1.279099 2.012101 3.326318
2025-04-27 0.239233 0.357480 0.536079 0.832852 1.328477 2.150638 3.678310
2025-05-04 0.227270 0.345786 0.528600 0.839591 1.373002 2.284459 4.037104
2025-05-11 0.215549 0.333502 0.519057 0.841732 1.409281 2.406723 4.388578
2025-05-18 0.206758 0.325505 0.516153 0.855383 1.467999 2.577065 4.858829
2025-05-25 0.192317 0.307280 0.495092 0.835922 1.465589 2.635239 5.116035
2025-06-01 0.185591 0.301348 0.494085 0.851490 1.528553 2.822658 5.662388
2025-06-08 0.175363 0.288738 0.480644 0.843270 1.545483 2.921832 6.034569
2025-06-15 0.168549 0.281509 0.475975 0.850644 1.592880 3.086281 6.572384
2025-06-22 0.159320 0.269432 0.461821 0.838864 1.600957 3.170355 6.938925
2025-06-29 0.151764 0.259844 0.451480 0.833488 1.621306 3.282062 7.385876
2025-07-06 0.140609 0.243102 0.426958 0.798433 1.576899 3.248920 7.476874
2025-07-13 0.136247 0.238512 0.424706 0.807476 1.626346 3.428257 8.123477
2025-07-20 0.132200 0.234244 0.422744 0.816874 1.677309 3.616474 8.822264
2025-07-27 0.128048 0.229520 0.419576 0.823466 1.722599 3.796411 9.527838